Venus
A strict, rules-based directional strategy on U.S. equities. It reads the S&P 500 against a basket of closely correlated assets to form a clear directional view, then takes a single, defined-risk position when — and only when — the rules line up.
The rules do the deciding.
Venus is deliberately un-clever. It relates the SPY ETF to a set of fairly correlated assets and requires them to agree before it will commit to a direction. When they don't line up, it does nothing. There is no discretion, no override, no "feel" — the same conditions produce the same decision every time, which is exactly what makes a record repeatable.
Every position is defined-risk: the maximum loss is fixed the moment the trade goes on, and there is at most one position per opportunity. The discipline is the strategy — the rule set is written down, and it is followed without exception.
Correlation-confirmed direction
The index and its correlated assets must agree before a trade is taken.
Defined risk
Maximum loss fixed on entry, one position per opportunity.
No discretion
A written rule set, followed without exception — repeatable by design.
We'd rather test it live than publish a number we don't trust.
Venus's historical simulation depends on input data we don't consider accurate enough to stand behind. Rather than post a backtest we can't fully verify, we're validating the rule set the honest way — forward, in live market conditions, on real prices as they happen.
Live capital goes behind it starting next week. From that point the record builds in real time, and it will be published here exactly like every other strategy — good months and bad.
That is the whole point of how we operate: a number only goes on this site once we can defend where it came from.