Nebulas
Index · Systematic Live

Nebulas

The same systematic approach that powers Mars, applied to a major stock index. Nebulas trades price and volume inefficiencies with a predefined stop on every position — and it has now been backtested across five years of data.

How Nebulas is built

A proven method, tested honestly.

Nebulas takes the price-and-volume approach validated on Bitcoin and points it at one of the world's most heavily traded indices. Deep, liquid markets leave the kind of structure the method looks for. The logic is unchanged: act only on high-conviction conditions, define the risk before every entry, and keep execution cost-aware so the edge isn't given back in spread.

What matters most is how it was tested. The parameters were fixed in advance on a completely different market and were not tuned to this index — the single most common way a backtest fools its author. Costs were modelled on the venue's real, verified spread, and stops were filled at the gap-open price when price jumps through them rather than at the stop, so the results don't flatter themselves. It was profitable in every year tested, including the 2022 bear market, and held up when the sample was split in half without re-optimising.

Not tuned to this market

Parameters fixed in advance on another market — no curve-fitting to the index.

Realistic cost & fill model

Real verified spread, and stops filled at the gap price when price jumps through them.

Profitable every year tested

Positive in all five years, including the 2022 bear market, and across both sample halves.


Performance

Monthly, growth of a $1,000,000 starting balance · 5-year backtest at a conservative 1% risk per trade

Year by year

YearTradesWin rateReturn
20218343%+23%
202213841%+30%
202313247%+58%
202410550%+55%
202511943%+31%
20267353%+45%

At 1% risk per trade. Profitable in every year tested.


Growth calculator

Run your own number.

Enter any starting amount to see what it would be worth today at this strategy's backtested performance.

Important — these are hypothetical backtest results, not live trading results. No client money has been traded with this strategy. Simulated performance benefits from hindsight, does not involve real financial risk, and cannot account for every real-world factor; live edges typically decay relative to a backtest. Figures are compounded at 1% risk per trade and indexed to a $1,000,000 starting balance. Past and simulated performance do not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.
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